Shen Yubin
Stock Sea Lighthouse: No impact on the intraday adjustment before 3200 points
Today, the market news is flat. The trend of US stocks' ups and downs is neutral to the A-share market. From the analysis of technical indicators alone, the MACD indicator line on the daily chart of the Shanghai stock market is running on the 0-axis to form a golden fork, showing the short-term rebound and the upper impulsive kinetic energy; the daily-line Bollinger on the track line (3214 points) is inclined upwards. The stock index is close to it. However, the MACD indicator on the 60-point clock map has a top-off phenomenon, indicating that the market will rise upwards at any time.
Today, the market will return to the 3-day moving average (3192 points), and then pull up, and then, a small decline, if the stock index does not go back to step 3192, it will go high and go high in the morning, and it will appear after the breakthrough of 3200 points. The phenomenon of high fall. Therefore, it is believed that the market will replenish the gap that opened lower on April 19 and then pull up again near the 3230 point to make a short-term high throw. Then, when you return to the wash, you will go low. However, the stock index did not have an intraday adjustment before the 3200 points, so there is no need to be nervous.
Pick up the gold: the market will soon choose the direction
Yesterday, the disk oscillated only a dozen points. At present, the index has formed a new platform above 3180 points, and the index is repeatedly sorted around 3190 points. From the surface of the market, as long as the price and price match, the index will break through 3200 points, but There is no sign of an upward breakthrough. Now the index is finishing at a high level. If it can't continue to break through, then there may be risks in the disk, so I personally think that the market will soon choose the direction.
However, investors do not have to worry too much at present. At present, the index operation is very normal on the surface. As long as the weight plate is not adjusted downward, the index should not have much problem, but the index will inevitably choose the direction after the continuous consolidation. I need to be careful. What I personally worry about is that there is no obvious good news on the disk since this wavelet market. So even if the index runs up, there will not be much room, but at present, the index has signs of starting, so Investors in the participation, we still have to be conservative, try to fast forward and fast, in order to prevent adjustment, bring risks to ourselves, it is best to take the stocks in our hands, and after the market is fully stabilized, we will enter the market again. Not too late.
Recently, although the index has risen slightly, but the index has never got rid of the platform of 3180 points, so for this wave of market, I insist that it is the main support market, if this wave is really reverse, then we wait The index stood at 3200 points and then entered the market.
Desert Eagle: Style Switching to be confirmed
In the first trading day of the second half of the year, the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets showed the "82" pattern of the general growth of the White Horse stocks. The Shanghai Composite Index, the Shenzhen Stock Exchange Index and the SME Board Index were completely different from the GEM. The first three indexes were first suppressed and then raised in the morning. They fluctuated sideways in the afternoon, that is, after 50 minutes of continuous diving, they successfully turned red before the market closed at noon, but in the afternoon they failed to further expand the increase. The GEM is a unilateral rise in the morning, and it will be suppressed in the afternoon. On Monday, there were more positive changes on the disk, mainly reflected in the renewed strength of some popular stocks. For example, Tianshan, Bayi Iron and Steel and Hengtong Technology all closed at the daily limit. These stocks are active and easy to mobilize the market. Do more atmosphere. If the strength of such stocks continues, the market's profit-making effect is expected to be fully stimulated, which in turn will enable the A-share market to achieve a real "turn over" in July. However, although the Shanghai stock index hit a new high in the near future, and the trading volume has also increased, the short-term index is running well. However, as the stock index continued to oscillate for 5 days around 3193, and the gap above it was not broken, the pressure at this point was getting bigger and bigger, and the confidence of the market was slightly hit. In addition, the trend of weighted shares differentiation became more and more obvious. Even if the gap is broken, the pressure in this region is soaring. If the short-term stock index wants to break through, it needs a simultaneous and effective amplification of the amount of energy.
Today's financial news: First, according to the central bank news, in June 2017, the People's Bank of China, the National Development Bank, China's Export-Import Bank, China Agricultural Development Bank three banks increased mortgage supplementary loans totaled 68.3 billion yuan, the balance of mortgage replenishment loans at the end of June It is 2,411.1 billion yuan. Second, FAW and Baidu carried out strategic cooperation. Third, the two ministries: the transfer of new mining rights should pay the mining rights transfer income. 4. The central bank issued a credit rating business announcement on credit rating agencies in the inter-bank bond market. V. Hong Kong Monetary Authority: We will maintain close contact with all parties in the market to continue to optimize bond transactions. Sixth, the National Development and Reform Commission, the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology and other eight ministries and commissions jointly issued the "Guiding Opinions on Promoting the Sharing of Economic Development" on the 3rd.
Market review: Yesterday, the A-share market showed more obvious differentiation characteristics. After the Shanghai stock index opened in the early session, the blue chips in the early period rose sharply. The biggest decline in the SSE 50 index was over 1 percentage point. The white horse stocks such as Yunnan Baiyao, Guizhou Maotai, Gree Electric Appliances and Midea Group contributed to the decline, dragging down the stock index and continued to fluctuate downward. In the case of weaker weights, the GEM has set off a banner that will drive market sentiment, and the GEM has risen by more than one percentage point. Subsequently, some second-tier blue-chip stocks also began to strengthen, driving the overall market to stabilize and rebound, the Shanghai index rebounded sharply and smoothly turned red. In the afternoon, the major stock indexes maintained a sideways trend. The Shanghai Composite Index has been oscillating around the opening point, but it has hit a new high in the recent rebound, and the trading volume has also increased. At the close, the Shanghai stock market rose 0.11% to close at 3195.91 points; the Shenzhen Component Index rose 0.05% to close at 10535 points; the ChiNext reported up 0.99% to close at 1835.99 points; the small and medium board fell 0.14% to 6369.57 points, but the intraday market Created a new high this year. The two cities had a total turnover of 369.8 billion, an increase of more than 30 billion from the previous trading day. The net inflow of Shanghai Stock Connect was 165 million, and the net inflow of Shenzhen Stock Connect was 327 million. Nearly 80% of the stocks rose yesterday, with non-ST stocks trading at a limit of 26 and a one-stop limit. In terms of sectors, steel, coal, agriculture and animal husbandry, cement and building materials, Xiong'an New District, Silk Road, artificial intelligence and other gains were among the top; insurance, brewing, brokerage, Guangdong Free Trade Zone and other small declines.
Technical Analysis: A shares opened in July, but there are several twists and turns behind. Yesterday, the Shanghai Stock Exchange 50 fell in early trading, not to hide the blue-chip white horses to fall back. However, under the leadership of small and medium-sized themes such as Xiong'an New District and Xinjiang, the GEM is on the rise. In view of the fact that the amount of energy has not been significantly enlarged and the continuous correction of the white horse blue chip, the "28" shock market in July is difficult to change, and the market will turn to small and medium-sized enterprises that have been adjusted. Although the market performance is relatively strong from Monday's performance, but the volume has not been effectively enlarged, it still needs further observation. Although the GEM has surged to break through the 60-day line, the Shanghai Composite Index still has consolidation demand at the 3200-point pressure mark. The overall resistance of the market as a whole is still relatively large. In addition, a total of 6.981 billion shares were lifted this week. Based on the closing price on June 30, the market value of the lifting of the ban was 90.450 billion yuan, an increase of 51.33 billion yuan over the previous week's 39.117 billion yuan. If the stock game in the market does not change, the funding pressure will increase. Comprehensive analysis: After the smooth transition of liquidity at the end of June, the market worried about the slowdown. However, after the White Horse stocks continued to rise, the short-term profit was quite rich. Under the intervention of no incremental funds, beware of the early withdrawal of some funds. The stock index bottomed out, but the trading volume was sluggish. The short-term center of gravity was stagnant and the demand for callbacks improved. For the late style conversion, the current judgment is still too early. After all, the white horse stocks have not seen a significant correction, and the small-cap stocks have no tendency to rise.
Investment suggestion: The market volume will continue to shrink, and the volume will shrink. It will eventually lead to a staged top, so this phenomenon requires investors' attention. Since the market is facing a lot of pressure at the 3200-point integer mark, and this hurdle is always difficult to break through, investors should do a positive high-throwing action near the 3200-point integer mark; wait until the market falls back to 3100 points. Then do the low-suction action. There is still pressure on the lack of trading volume to break through the gap. The short-term market is dominated by shocks, and the second-tier blue chips and growth leaders are grasped. After the rise of the first half of the White Horse stocks, the staged valuation is somewhat high, and the funds will re-select the lower subject stocks, especially the sub-new stocks that are oversold and undervalued.
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